Trapped cash

Corporate Treasury Challenges in Argentina

Report date: 
6 Nov 2023

Every call on Argentina comes down to the same question: when are things going to improve? Sadly, the answer is usually the same: no improvement in sight, so companies are still dealing with the toxic mixture of high inflation, high currency depreciation, a rigid tax regime and severe exchange controls.

This call took place against the backdrop of the first round of the presidential election, with a real concern that one of the candidates would pursue some unorthodox policies, including fully dollarising the economy. The more conventional candidate won the first round, but the future remains uncertain. 

So this call was no exception: not only is there no improvement in sight, but the operating environment continues to get more difficult:

  • Even companies in high priority industries, such as health care, are finding it increasingly difficult to get foreign currency to settle import bills.
  • The 7.5% import tax has

 

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Topics covered in this report: 
FX, Hedging FX, Cash Repatriation, Trapped cash, Blue chip swap, Funding

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Treasury, FX & Banking in Vietnam

Report date: 
10 Jul 2023

Commentary

There are some things in life which are always a fixed time in the future: the big joke about nuclear fusion is that it is 30 years away – and it was 30 years away back in 1970. Similar comments have been made about Vietnam’s economic potential: despite being hailed by many as the next China for economic growth, with its population of nearly 100 million people, and high levels of education and entrepreneurship, it has remained one of the more difficult places to do business and manage cash.

  • This call showed that the economy has made progress. Participants generally have businesses which are profitable and generating cash, and obtaining and remitting hard currency is not the major challenge it used to be. However, there is a lot of bureaucracy to be complied with, and it is not plain sailing.
  • Cash repatriation and trapped cash are issues. The only truly viable way of extracting cash from the country is via dividends – this means cash accumulates until the financial year has been closed, audited, and tax paid.
  • One participant has been involved in a situation where cash was repatriated via a prepayment of intercompany royalties – this required approval from the central bank.
  • Intercompany loans out of the country are
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Topics covered in this report: 
Hedging FX, Bank Relationships, Intercompany loans, Cash Repatriation, Trapped cash
Service providers discussed in this report: 
JP Morgan, Standard Chartered, HSBC, DBS, Citi, ANZ

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Treasury FX & Banking in Nigeria

Report date: 
12 Jun 2023

Commentary

If a country ever deserved the term “Complex Country”, it has to be Nigeria. The country itself has a complex composition: it is made up of many varied ethnic groups who have a long history of strife between each other, including a very bloody civil war in the twentieth century. It has immense mineral wealth, especially oil, and some very crowded cities, which are often home to massive traffic jams. Despite the oil riches, the country has huge economic issues and a long history of exchange controls and significant devaluations – the naira has gone from parity with the US dollar in the 1970s to between 450 and 600 to the dollar today – depending on whether you use the official or the black market rate.

This brings us to one of the key challenges facing international companies operating in the country. The many regulations are applied in ways which are not always transparent, and there are many local players who show astounding creativity in finding ways round them. So the MNC’s dilemma: how do I make sure these solutions are truly legal before I use them?

In short, welcome to Africa.

Whatever the regulatory situation, Nigeria has a population of 80 million people, oil wealth, and a large diaspora. So it is an important market that is difficult to ignore. Participants all face the same issues:

  • Difficulty accessing foreign currency
  • Assessing various proposals, including brokers, private FX sales, buying offshore bonds
  • Trapped cash, and how to invest it
  • Which banks to deal with? Local banks are needed for collections in remote areas, and they usually
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Topics covered in this report: 
Hedging FX, Cash - deposits, Cash Repatriation, Trapped cash, Investments
Service providers discussed in this report: 
Citi, Crown Agents Bank, Standard Chartered, Stanbic Asset Management, United Capital, Zenith Bank, Guaranty Trust

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Approaches to Investing Trapped Cash

Report date: 
2 May 2023

Commentary

All international companies put a lot of effort into avoiding having cash trapped in emerging countries. But, despite our best efforts, there are still situations where cash accumulates in places from which it can’t be repatriated. This quickly becomes a lose/lose situation for the MNC: often the countries involved have high rates of inflation, and usually provide low rates of return on bank deposits – or even no return at all. So the cash loses its economic value, while counterparty risk quickly becomes an issue, over and above the sovereign risk concerns. Further, depending on the company’s accounting policies, exchange losses can negatively impact reported profits, as the local currency depreciates.

The purpose of this call was to discuss how to make the best of this bad situation – to look for ways of managing the issue.

  • Generally, there was consensus that standard risk management approaches continue to apply. No-one is prepared to ignore their usual principles.
  • However, there was consensus that some flexibility may be appropriate. The question is – how much?
  • The first problem is bank deposits: all participants preferred to continue to use international banks, even if they often provide lower rates than local ones. The counterparty risk issues with local banks were not viewed as sufficient to offset any increased return.
  • Most participants were in favour of putting pressure on the international banks to increase rates: in Latin America,  the European banks were generally viewed as being more responsive than their American counterparts, with Santander being used frequently: BBVA was
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Topics covered in this report: 
Trapped cash
Service providers discussed in this report: 
BBVA, Santander

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