Cash Repatriation

Corporate Treasury Approaches to Managing Geopolitical Risk

Report date: 
8 Mar 2024

Commentary

Geopolitical risk, or simply political risk, is a major challenge for treasurers. We had all become used to viewing Iran, North Korea and Myanmar as off limits, and handling issues in Venezuela and Argentina. But the Russian invasion of Ukraine and escalating trade tensions between the US, the EU and China have made the world a more dangerous place.

This call was scheduled at the request of one member, who was looking for ways to measure political risk, or at least get external indicators they can use to convince management to tread carefully. More on that below. But we quickly moved to discussing what to do, once you have identified the risk. After all, if management wants to do business in a risky country, treasury has to make it happen. 

Generally, peers participated in senior level discussions on strategy and objectives, but felt their main contribution was through managing the balance sheet:

  • Cash repatriation: the main way treasurers can reduce immediate risk is by repatriating restricted and trapped cash. This often involves a cost: withholding tax in the case of dividends, or creating accounting losses on currency conversion. Tax departments and CFOs have to be persuaded this is the right thing to do. Several participants regularly circulate the amount of trapped cash by country to the business, and even the board of directors: this helps change attitudes.
  • Change the business model: this is more difficult, but it can involve moving to invoicing in hard currency to reduce FX risk, or moving to selling through remarketers. One participant has moved from a single manufacturing location in China to multiple production sites in different regions. This was partly due to COVID disruptions and supply chain concerns, but it also addresses the potential exposure due to increasing tensions with China. 
  • Change the funding structure: in some markets, participants have moved from funding via intercompany loans from offshore locations to onshore external borrowing. This reduces the net exposure – provided the company is willing to walk away from the local debt in a crisis. In turn, that raises a series of issues – but at least, it gives more options. It is often more expensive.
  • Manage the accounting exposure: some

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India Corporate Treasury Update

Report date: 
20 Feb 2024

Commentary

Calls on India are always well attended: there is never a shortage of items to discuss. It is already a very large market, and it continues to grow – so all international companies are motivated to manage its many complexities. 

Complexity is something at which India excels: the regulations are many, varied, and never easy to navigate. It can be difficult to know exactly what they are: as often happens, we spent a lot of time trying to establish what is, and what is not, allowed. At the same time, the country has come a long way. Many things which used to be forbidden are now allowed: cash can be brought into and out of the country with relative ease, though not without red tape. The authorities are relatively flexible and business friendly. India is in the vanguard of efforts to move away from cash for retail transactions: this may be mostly for tax reasons, but it reflects the country’s leading position in technology.

At the same time, it remains a very large country, with significant regional variations, including language, climate, culture and religion – so differences will continue to exist. Our conversation covered the following points:

  • The economy continues to perform well, though competition is fierce – and, in some areas, India continues to favour national champions.
  • Operations: most peers had different legal entities in India involved in different activities: manufacturing, R&D, shared service centres, marketing, etc. Intercompany lending within the country, while permitted, can be complicated.
  • Onshore versus centralised treasury: many MNCs have local treasury teams, due to the regulations and complexity. This is beginning to change: several participants are starting to bring India into their centralised structures. 
  • Similarly, most peers are only using international banks in the country, and shutting down relationships with local banks. One participant attributed this in part to a regulatory requirement to link lending activity to transactional business – especially as the foreign banks can now provide complete services.
  • Another peer

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China Corporate Treasury Update

Report date: 
13 Nov 2023

Commentary

With recent events, there has been less media focus on China. The news related to China has been about trade tensions with the US, the extent of China’s relationship with Russia, and the issues related to the real estate sector. Even COVID has tended to fade into the background, with the economic impact of the extended lockdowns and the disappointing pace of the recovery.

The purpose of this call was to find out how our members are finding the business and regulatory environment in China, and the extent to which their operations and treasury management are being impacted.

The overwhelming response was that it is very much business as usual – both in the good and bad respects. Participants on the call come from a variety of industries: while some, especially those facing the consumer, are seeing a significant slowdown, some continue to see growth. Everyone saw current difficulties as being transient, and nobody was looking to reduce their presence. The call quickly got into the operational challenges China presents – it was the familiar scenario of regulations which are always changing, are often not totally clear, and surprises.

  • Chinese banks. One participant reported that one local bank, ICBC, had proved to be very proactive in helping their company automate several processes, using new technology. This is a big step forward, as Chinese banks have traditionally preferred to avoid this kind of engagement with foreign companies. 
  • At the same time, there was a feeling that, as their traditional real estate lending activities have come under pressure, several Chinese banks are now more willing to lend to foreign companies.
  • At the same time, most participants prefer to limit their relationships to the core foreign banks: this is becoming easier, as foreign banks are now able to provide services, such as the basic account, which used to be reserved to local banks. Several participants are reducing their banking relationships, usually focusing on core – international – banks.
  • Also, participants reported that FX payments are being approved more quickly, and regulations seem to be easing – there was a lot of discussion about the requirement to bring the balance
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Corporate Treasury Challenges in Argentina

Report date: 
6 Nov 2023

Every call on Argentina comes down to the same question: when are things going to improve? Sadly, the answer is usually the same: no improvement in sight, so companies are still dealing with the toxic mixture of high inflation, high currency depreciation, a rigid tax regime and severe exchange controls.

This call took place against the backdrop of the first round of the presidential election, with a real concern that one of the candidates would pursue some unorthodox policies, including fully dollarising the economy. The more conventional candidate won the first round, but the future remains uncertain. 

So this call was no exception: not only is there no improvement in sight, but the operating environment continues to get more difficult:

  • Even companies in high priority industries, such as health care, are finding it increasingly difficult to get foreign currency to settle import bills.
  • The 7.5% import tax has

 

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Treasury, FX & Banking in Colombia & Peru

Report date: 
24 Jul 2023

Commentary

In our last call on Colombia and Peru in October 2021[https://www.complexcountries.com/treasury-fx-in-colombia-peru], there were concerns about political uncertainty. Since then, the president of Peru has been impeached and a left wing former guerrilla elected president of Colombia has been beset by scandals. So how has this impacted the companies operating in the countries?

In short, not a great deal. Currency volatility continues to be a challenge and reduced foreign investment has hampered growth. But in terms of politics the markets are relatively sanguine as the respective governments stumble along without enough power to make radical changes and the long run potential remains.

From a Latin American perspective both countries are relatively easy to operate in for treasury, with local teams coping well with the challenges.  

Colombia:

  • Most companies repatriate cash via dividends and intercompany loans. The process involves a lot of admin, but it works.
  • Funding is relatively easy but also entails a lot of bureaucracy and it is essential to get communications with DIAN (the tax & customs agency) accurate.
  • Some companies avoid the transaction tax (‘cuatro por mil’) by parking cash in fiduciary accounts for 24 hours. It saves money but, again a lot of form filing.
  • The currency volatility also caused one participant to have their local credit dramatically reduced
  • Citi is the
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