Bank Relationships

Commentary

In many ways, Mexico is a paradox. It has a vital, and complicated, relationship with its northern neighbour: apart from anything else, migration across its land border into the USA is a significant, and highly contentious, topic in US domestic politics.

But the reality is that Mexico has a thriving economy, and has modernised its financial and banking infrastructure to the point where the consensus on the call was that it is a country where it is relatively easy to work, and where most modern treasury management techniques can be used. There are no exchange controls, cash can be freely transferred across the national borders, and cross border cash pooling is regularly practiced. FX hedging can be done freely both onshore and offshore, and the country is well banked, with both good local banks and most international banks being well represented.

Despite this overall positive environment, we still had a lively call. There are a series of challenges, and some points were not always totally clear. None is particularly serious, but they still take up management time and attention:

• Citibank operate through a relationship with Banamex. While this works well, several participants reported service level issues, and there were challenges with data not being transmitted through the IT systems. This resulted in manual interventions which should not have been required.
• Consistent with their global strategy, Citi/Banamex are withdrawing from the retail banking sector. For some participants, this caused a problem, as banks in Mexico share the Latin American practice of giving employees a better deal on their retail banking services if the company pays payroll through them.
• Otherwise, some participants reported issues setting up and managing local

Commentary

With recent events, there has been less media focus on China. The news related to China has been about trade tensions with the US, the extent of China’s relationship with Russia, and the issues related to the real estate sector. Even COVID has tended to fade into the background, with the economic impact of the extended lockdowns and the disappointing pace of the recovery.

The purpose of this call was to find out how our members are finding the business and regulatory environment in China, and the extent to which their operations and treasury management are being impacted.

The overwhelming response was that it is very much business as usual – both in the good and bad respects. Participants on the call come from a variety of industries: while some, especially those facing the consumer, are seeing a significant slowdown, some continue to see growth. Everyone saw current difficulties as being transient, and nobody was looking to reduce their presence. The call quickly got into the operational challenges China presents – it was the familiar scenario of regulations which are always changing, are often not totally clear, and surprises.

• Chinese banks. One participant reported that one local bank, ICBC, had proved to be very proactive in helping their company automate several processes, using new technology. This is a big step forward, as Chinese banks have traditionally preferred to avoid this kind of engagement with foreign companies. 
• At the same time, there was a feeling that, as their traditional real estate lending activities have come under pressure, several Chinese banks are now more willing to lend to foreign companies.
• At the same time, most participants prefer to limit their relationships to the core foreign banks: this is becoming easier, as foreign banks are now able to provide services, such as the basic account, which used to be reserved to local banks. Several participants are reducing their banking relationships, usually focusing on core – international – banks.
• Also, participants reported that FX payments are being approved more quickly, and regulations seem to be easing – there was a lot of discussion about the requirement to bring the balance

Commentary

There are some things in life which are always a fixed time in the future: the big joke about nuclear fusion is that it is 30 years away – and it was 30 years away back in 1970. Similar comments have been made about Vietnam’s economic potential: despite being hailed by many as the next China for economic growth, with its population of nearly 100 million people, and high levels of education and entrepreneurship, it has remained one of the more difficult places to do business and manage cash.

• This call showed that the economy has made progress. Participants generally have businesses which are profitable and generating cash, and obtaining and remitting hard currency is not the major challenge it used to be. However, there is a lot of bureaucracy to be complied with, and it is not plain sailing.
• Cash repatriation and trapped cash are issues. The only truly viable way of extracting cash from the country is via dividends – this means cash accumulates until the financial year has been closed, audited, and tax paid.
• One participant has been involved in a situation where cash was repatriated via a prepayment of intercompany royalties – this required approval from the central bank.
• Intercompany loans out of the country are

Commentary

Saudi Arabia occupies a pivotal, and highly unusual, place in global politics and the world economy. As the world’s largest exporter of oil, and the holder of the second largest reserves of oil and gas, it is an essential part of the global economy – and has traditionally been relatively aligned with western and capitalistic countries. At the same time, it is a profoundly religious absolute monarchy, which practices a particularly conservative brand of Islam. This has always placed limits on its co-operation with western countries – limits which are being tested even more than usual in the current environment.

The current situation is particularly complex, as was clear in the call. Saudi Arabia has always imposed severe restrictions on foreign companies and banks, requiring local partners, and imposing local signatories and approvers for most, if not all, transactions. Limitations on where foreigners could live, and what they could do, have meant that many expatriate employees preferred to live with their families in Dubai, and commute to Saudi for the work week. However, the country has recently launched “Vision 2030”, which aims to open up the country and prepare it for a post oil future. This ranges from promoting tourism, allowing women to drive cars, and potentially allowing alcohol sales in specific places, to mega projects such as building a new city in the desert. It also includes pushing MNCs to transfer their regional headquarters to the kingdom. At the same time, foreign ownership is now allowed, either using a Saudi sponsor (with fees), or by paying 20% taxes. 

These developments are viewed positively by the participants – though several cautioned that there are many conflicting undercurrents in Saudi society, and the situation can always change at short notice. In all cases, Saudi Arabia is a large, and profitable, market, to which all our participants are fully committed, irrespective of the operational challenges.

Treasury practicalities:

• Nearly all participants sell into Saudi from an offshore location, usually in USD. The currency is pegged to the USD, and there are no exchange controls, so things generally work well.
• Several participants have opened local branches or subsidiaries, either to provide services or to act as sales offices, or technical offices to manage regulatory issues.
• To participate in the mega projects being run by the government, it is a requirement to transfer any regional headquarters operation to the kingdom. There is direct competition with other countries in the region for this, particularly the UAE.
• Saudi regulations state that the bank signatories and transactions mus